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Aramon’s 2014/15 NFL Wildcard Playoff Picks (Sunday)

Posted by THEPOGG on Jan 04, 2015

NFL

So we go 1-1 yesterday to start our wildcard playoff round picks. Of course not exactly as planned but no real damage as we go into another big day. All of the games this weekend have huge potential and todays games have the chance to catapult us into a huge week. We have sizable plays on both games with even a max bet in play. Today gives us another chance to get our bankroll a little more healthy for the big push to the Super Bowl. I really have huge confidence in one of the picks today, and feel really good about the other. NFL playoff football, there’s nothing like it. Especially when you’re cashing in!

Saturday’s results : -0.8 units
Total to date : -91.2 units

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Line

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Indianapolis Colts -4 over Cincinnati Colts : Bet 7 units

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Result:

What it comes down to here in it’s purest form is, I like Colts QB Andrew Luck far better in this game than Bengals QB Andy Dalton. The Colts haven’t played particularly well down the stretch at the end of the season, however the last time these two teams met was this year in Indy when the Colts embarrassed the Bengals 27-0. Of course this being a playoff game has a whole different meaning to it, which also gives a sizeable edge to the Colts. Cincy has been downright awful in the post season when the stakes are the highest. The Bengals are 0-6 straight up as well as against the spread in the post season. Andy Dalton has never won a playoff game in his career and it’s not going to get any easier for him today with his favorite target WR A.J. Green out. Dalton struggled this season in the games that Green missed. In the 3 games without Green Dalton threw just 2 TD’s with 3 picks and went 2 consecutive games without throwing any scoring passes. When Green came back the Bengals won 4 of 5 with Dalton throwing 7 TD’s. It’s no secret that Cincy as well as Dalton are far better with their star WR on the field. The Bengals under coach Marvin Lewis will someday win a playoff game, but it certainly does not look like they will get it this time.

Dallas Cowboys -6.5 over Detroit Lions : Bet 10 units

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Result:

Well even though Detroit lucked out and will have their superstar defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh for this game due to his 1 game suspension being overturned by appeal, I don’t think even Suh will be able to stop this Dallas machine. If one team is built to handle Suh and that staunch Detroit defense it would be these Cowboys. With Center Travis Frederick and Right Guard Zack Martin both all pros, anchoring the middle of the Dallas offensive line. This should allow NFL leading rusher DeMarco Murray at last a good chance for some effective running. Whats even better for the Cowboys here is, Murray doesn’t even need a big day. If he can just run enough to keep the Lions defense from loading up on pass rushing, Dallas QB Tony Romo, playing at an MVP type caliber, should gash up this Detroit secondary with his big weapon Dez Bryant and perennial go to guy TE Jason Witten. The Cowboys will score. The same cannot be said about Detroit and their struggling offense. The Lions defense has kept them relevant all season, but in the games where they have faltered the Lions just get smoked. This Cowboy team matches up well against this Lion defense and the Cowboys come into this game hot winning their last 4. I would watch for Lions QB Matthew Stafford to try and press the issue to keep up with the Dallas scoring and make some big mistakes. The key to this game will be the Cowboy offense keeping the Lion defense out on the field a long time. Look for the Detroit D to wear down later in the game and for the Cowboys to take advantage and step on the gas and pull away.

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