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Dec 27

Aramon’s 2015/16 NFL Picks: Week 16 (Sunday)

Posted by THEPOGG in Blog.

NFL

Don’t look now but we are on fire of late and have really bumped up our bankroll. Another nice win last Monday has moved us up once again to our high water mark of earnings this season. With 3 more quality wagers today I think it very feasible by the end of the day to have added over 20% to our total bankroll. I will admit to having some good luck fall our way in recent weeks, but as happens in a long season we have had our share of bad luck as well. The difference being it is my plan to play every wager at an advantage so when the smoke clears we end up on top. So far so good. Today is a big day in my season long quest to set an all time high in winning percentage as well as units won. This is my 4th season making picks here, and confidence level is very high that we blast through until the end of the season with record wins. But for now lets focus on getting the cash today with our three plays of the day.

Monday’s results : +3.0 units
Total to date : +14.4 units

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New York Jets/New England Patriots take the over total 0f 45 : Bet 4 units

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Result:

This is actually a big game for both teams today. Its big for the Patriots as they need one win in the last two games of the season to secure home field advantage throughout the playoffs. It would be good for them to win today so they could actually rest some players in the final week of the regular season against Miami. For the Jets this game is huge. They need to win every game to have a shot at the playoffs. Even if they win out and finsish a very impressive 11-5, they still could miss the post season. So it’s imperative for them to beat the Patriots today to make sure they do everything they can to keep their season alive after week 17. And yes they can do it. They have the fire power now to offensively match the Patriots. Even though Pats QB may arguably be the best to ever have played the game, Jets QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has played well and is on a streak as good as any QB in the league. New England on the other hand after a rare 2 game losing streak, and having to deal with major injuries, is back on a roll and playing great. This may be one of the best games of the day and not because the defenses are playing a huge roll in the game. There is not a team in the league that has an answer for the Brady to TE Gronkowski duo, and New England will not be able to shut down the Jets very dynamic and balanced offensive attack. I believe the defense that holds up late in the game and can come up with a key stop will determine the winner, but by that time i expect there have to been lots of fireworks that has driven the total up past 45. I expect a good, but high scoring game.

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Minnesota Vikings -7 over New York Giants : Bet 3 units

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Result:

The Giants really just had a poor season. With Washington winning last night New York was knocked out of playoff contention. In a division that has been week all season long the Giants had every chance to make a move, and its time to face facts, they were not even good enough to be considered a playoff team. After last weeks ridiculous loss to Carolina, and the embarrassing actions of the Giants star WR Odell Beckham getting him suspended for this game, the Giants are lame ducks. And they are going against a young playoff hungry team in the Minnesota Vikings. Minnesota has a lot to play for as the Giants do not. Even when the Giants did have a chance they never stepped up, so today with nothing to play for, as well as missing their best player due to suspension, I think this game is going to get ugly quick. The Giants have been good offensively this season but without Beckham they are a different team. And New York has depended on big offensive plays this year because their defense has been so awful. That is bad news going against a Vikings team with QB Teddy Bridgewater playing very good, and RB Adrian Peterson I predict to have a huge day. There are many teams out of playoff contention that will show up and play hard as the role of the spoiler, the Giants won’t be that team. I think the Vikings jump on them early and crush them. This i predict will be a very ugly game….especially if you are a Giants fan.

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Green Bay Packers +5 over Arizona Cardinals : Bet 3 units

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Result:

Another great game today see’s these two top NFC teams going at it today. A few weeks ago it looked like the Packers had run off the rails and went on a 1-4 stretch that seemed to have their season in peril. However, in what is usually the case, the Packers have heated up in December going 3-0 straight up as well as against the spread. They have put it all back together of late on both sides of the ball. of course they have one of the best QB’s in the league in Aaron Rodgers, but RB Eddie Lacy has really found his groove and is one of the top ground gainers in the league this month. To add to this the Packer defense has really stepped up and has averaged giving up just slightly over 16 points a game on the current win streak. Green Bay has played virtually mistake free football on the road this year being tied for the NFL lead with least turnovers on the road with just 5. Of course the Cardinals at 12-2 are one of the best teams in the league this year. Largely due to their QB Carson Palmer having an MVP type season, and a very solid defense. But two things of note as red hot Green Bay comes into Arizona today. The Cards have not done well against the spread at home having gone 0-4 in their last 4 home games. Also they will be without their best defensive player, Safety Tyrann Mathieu due to a season ending ACL injury. I believe the Packers have found momentum and are peaking at the right time. I think this may be a close game, but I believe the Packers can win this game out right. Getting 5 points, to me, gives Green Bay a nice advantage to wager on here today.

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