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Sep 21

Aramon’s 2015/16 NFL Picks: Week 2 (Monday)

Posted by THEPOGG in Blog.

NFL

Nice way to kick off our NFL season! A nice win with the Pats winning pretty much as predicted pressuring the Bills young QB into lots of mistakes. They did let off the gas slightly at the end to make it a little closer then it should have been, but the Patriots had this game in hand from the middle of the 1st quarter on. We hope to continue our success tonight and as we look to feed off the public’s over reaction to week 1 results once again. So lets finish out week 2 of the season with another fine win and start the season off with a bang!

Sunday’s results : +4.0 units
Total to date : +4.0 units

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Indianapolis Colts -6 over New York Jets : Bet 4 units

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Result: Indianapolis Colts 7 – 20 New York Jets

I am going against everything the public saw last week, and is betting on this week. Last week saw the Colts, a favorite to be one of the top teams in the AFC this year, get manhandled and beat by the defense heavy Bills. While the Jets under new head coach Todd Bowles looked like a revamped team with much the same tough defense. So the public says what a bad match up for the Colts. I say nonsense. The Colts still are a very good to great team while the Jets are still an improving team with a suspect QB situation being led by Ryan Fitzpatrick. Its almost a carbon copy of what we saw yesterday with the Patriots vs the Bills. The Colts are a far better offensive team led by one of the best QB’s in the game in Andrew Luck. The Jets should be able to run the ball against the porous Colt defense, but the ability of the Colts to score quickly will force the Jets to have to pass the ball to keep pace. Fitzpatrick is geared towards managing a controlled tempo. When asked to shoot it out mistakes will be made and the Indy weaknesses will be masked by the Jets inability to score quickly. Also trends to take notice of. The Colts are 14-1 against the spread following a loss, and 15-2 when failing to cover the spread the previous game. Indy also averages 32.5 points per game when favored by 6 or more points. The Colts are at home and that is generally looked upon as about a 3 point advantage for the home team. It would be ridiculous to think the Colts are only 3 points better than the Jets based on the QB’s from each team alone. The public is riding week 1 like it actually changes these teams power rankings. I may feel differently about the Jets later in the season as they find their true niche. They should be better than last year. The Colts on the other hand are a Superbowl contender that played well below expectation last week. I am betting they will not be so unlucky this week. I don’t even think this game will be close by the time the final score is tallied.

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