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Aramon’s NFL Preseason Betting Theory: Week 2 (cont. 8-16-13)

Posted by THEPOGG on Aug 16, 2013

Ok so last nights game didn’t offer us much in the way of the average positive statistical result. The underdogs went 2-2 and the over totals hit 2 out of the 4 games. It was nice however to see the underdogs last night win against the spread with the points afforded to them. So the whole night was close to a wash, but there are still many more games to go, starting with 4 more tonight. The lines and game totals used are from Pinnacle Sports, and as always the underdogs will be listed first with the home team in parentheses.

  • Minnesota Vikings +3.5 (Buffalo Bills) 43
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 (New England Patriots) 41
  • Oakland Raiders +6 (New Orleans Saints) 42
  • San Francisco 49ers +2.5 (Kansas City Chiefs) 40

So just like yesterday’s games all of tonight’s games see the home team as the favorite. I find it highly improbable that every team in the NFL this week that plays at home has an on field statistical advantage over their opponent. Let’s just see if the lines are just skewed because of some good ole’ home cooking and also see if these underdogs can’t make use of these points they’ve been afforded. Afterall, by the 3rd quarter I would bet even the most rabid fan will be hard pressed to identify the starting lineups of any of these teams. Of course there may be a skilled player here or there, but at least half of the game, especially the second half, will be played by the no names. I still like the idea of getting points in that scenario, so lets sit back and see how it plays out.

Up to date results:

Week 2 so far: Underdogs won 2 lost 2

Week 2 so far : Game totals over 2 out of 4

Year to date Underdogs record: 13-8

Year to date Underdogs Winning percentage: 61.5%

Year to date game totals over: 14 out of 21

Year to date game total over percentage: 66.6%

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