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Blog

Aramon's 2013/14 NFL Picks: Week 1

by Aramon - September 5, 2013

Well alright football is back! Its been a long wait but I'm back too and ready to start churning out the picks and making money even better than last year. While last season showed us making a decent profit, I believe the improvements made to the system this year gives us a chance to even better the results. Although I will still be picking the games on a weighted 1-10 […]

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Aramon's 2013 NFL Preseason Wrap Up

by Aramon - September 5, 2013

Well the 2013 preseason has finished up. With another losing week for the underdogs going 5-11 in week 4, the underdogs have a final preseason record of a dismal 24 -33 equating to a very disappointing 42% winning percentage. Not at all what I would have suspected. Now of course this one season study doesn’t offer a huge sample size to make any statistical conclusions, […]

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Aramon's NFL Preseason Betting Theory: Week 4

by Aramon - August 29, 2013

Well this is it, the last week of the NFL preseason. So far the betting theory I have put forth hasn't been as strong as I suspected it might be, however I believe there is a chance I may have discovered something to look at further. Week 1 went pretty much as I thought it might. Week 2 did not, but I believe the reason is now pretty evident to me why. In the first week […]

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Aramon's NFL Preseason Betting Theory: Week 3

by Aramon - August 22, 2013

A quick recap of week 2's results show the underdogs took a big hit and lost the week 5-11. The over totals had a slight dip too at 7-8-1. What I take away from week 2 is that the starters generally played much more than they did week 1, many as much as a whole half in this second week of preseason. That seemed to have a bit more impact on the games outcomes in this small […]

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Aramon's NFL Preseason Betting Theory: Week 2 (cont. 8-17-13)

by Aramon - August 17, 2013

So far week 2 of this NFL preseason has been a tough one for our premise of underdog betting these exhibition games. Last night saw us go 1-3 in taking the underdogs, as well as 2 out of 4 for the over in the game totals. The silver lining here is, as poor as the results have been so far this week, we are still ahead of the game as far as the underdog record, as well as […]

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Aramon's NFL Preseason Betting Theory: Week 2 (cont. 8-16-13)

by Aramon - August 16, 2013

Ok so last nights game didn't offer us much in the way of the average positive statistical result. The underdogs went 2-2 and the over totals hit 2 out of the 4 games. It was nice however to see the underdogs last night win against the spread with the points afforded to them. So the whole night was close to a wash, but there are still many more games to go, starting with […]

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Aramon's 2013 Preseason Betting Theory: Week 2

by Aramon - August 15, 2013

So here we go again, tonight starts week 2 of the 2013/2014 NFL preseason. So far my underdog theory is looking pretty good as the underdogs hold an 11-6 lead over the favorites, but there are still many games to go so no conclusions just yet (But I like my chances). Anyway, here are the 4 games being played tonight. I have listed the underdogs first, with the home team […]

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Aramon's 2013 NFL Preseason Week 1 Wrap Up

by Aramon - August 13, 2013

So the week 1 preseason games have concluded and we now have something to look at. First off the easiest aspect to see is that the underdogs took the week 11-6 for a 64.7% winning percentage. That’s a very good winning percentage, although how much it means has yet to be determined. You see of course I like that the underdogs dominated the week as far as winning as […]

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Aramon's Preseason Betting Theory: Week 1 (cont. 8-9-13)

by Aramon - August 9, 2013

Ok, so do we have a trend developing? Still too soon to tell, but what we do have is a preseason underdog record of 5-2 so far after last nights games. I'm not going to get too excited about anything here yet as it is really just the very beginning, but its always nice to look at something from the top instead of the bottom. Tonight has another 8 games to take a look at […]

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Aramon's NFL Preseason Betting Theory: Week 1 (cont. 8-8-13)

by Aramon - August 8, 2013

So week 1 of the NFL preseason continues tonight with 6 more games. We have started off 1-0 this preseason, but there is still much more to go. I will post the lines according to Pinnacle Sports even though with this theory I am exploring, I will be taking only underdogs. Here are tonight's lines with all the underdogs listed first in each match up with home teams in […]

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